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Rain and drought put Brazil’s crop in doubt

From the September 2013 issue.

Brazil’s 2013-14 coffee crop is projected to be the biggest off‑cycle harvest ever. However, there have been issues with the Robusta crop that could pull the final figure down significantly.

Brazilian coffee farmersSpeculation about the size of Brazil’s annual coffee crop is nothing new.

Brazil supplies between 35 and 38 per cent of the entire world supply of coffee in any given average cycle. Even in off-cycle years, which traditionally have produced lower volumes as trees are stressed and recovering from high yields in the on-cycles, the arrival of the Brazil crop traditionally eases pressure on the market.

This year has been no different. But from the first round of flowering for Brazil’s 2013-14 harvest, the signs pointed to an unusually healthy crop. Even Conab, Brazil’s official crop supply agency, said in its second forecast for the new harvest released in May that it expects the current Brazilian coffee crop to be the biggest off-cycle yield on record.

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