The International Coffee Organisation (ICO) has revealed the extent the price of coffee has fallen in its June 2025 I-CIP report, with the average price of 296.06 US cents/lb in June an 11.6 per cent decrease from May 2025.
Although the year-on-year price is still markedly higher than June 2024, where the average coffee price was 30.1 per cent lower, June is the first month in 2025 where the average price of coffee was below 300 US cents/lb.
The largest segmented price drop was seen in the Robustas category, where prices fell 17.5 per cent on average to 196.21 US cents/lb.
This is the first time since January 2024 that the Robustas price has fallen below 200 US cents/lb.
May 2025 saw huge fluctuations in gross export figures for all coffee-producing regions compared to May 2024, with Asia and Oceania boosting its output by almost 50 per cent from 2.76 million bags to 4.11 million bags.
A 20.1 per cent global increase in Robusta exports could be attributed as forming the foundation of the overall increase in Asia, with Vietnam being the world’s largest producer of Robusta beans.
“The main driver of the positive growth was Vietnam, whose exports increased by 87.3 per cent to 2.36 million bags in May 2025, with a net gain of 1.1 million bags,” the report reads.
“Indonesia and Uganda were the other positive forces behind the Robustas’ double-digit growth rate in May 2025, with their exports up 381.6 per cent and 45.9 per cent.”
Africa increased its total export by 33.3 per cent to 2.33 million bags in May 2025, while Mexico and Central America also increased its year-on-year exports by 3.8 per cent.
Conversely, South America saw a 25.7 per cent dip in its coffee exports in May 2025, from 5.5 million bags to 4.08 million bags.
The ICO says this overall 4.9 per cent increase in coffee supply is the main factor in the continuing reduction in price.
“On 2 June 2025, the United States Department of Agriculture released its semi-annual report on the world coffee balance, which estimated a 9.32 million-bag surplus for coffee year 2025/26, following a 7.88 million-bag surplus in coffee year 2024/25” the June 2025 I-CIP report reads.
“In addition, the certified stocks held by the ICE increased to a nine-month high of 1.85 million bags at the end of May, contributing to negative market sentiment, before then falling to 1.78 million bags by the end of June.”
